Murphy’s Laws have become a kind of aphorism describing various phenomena in life. In short, they can be described in one phrase: if a situation may not develop according to plan, it will definitely deviate from the previously formed scenario. These postulates also apply to sports betting.
Murphy’s Laws of Sports Betting
Tried and tested strategies, predictions from top-notch bookies and careful analysis are no guarantee of success in sports betting. In sports a lot is decided by chance. That is why Murphy’s Laws are often applied. They can be divided into several criteria:
- bank allocation;
- playing live;
- choosing a bookmaker;
- predicting matches.
There is an abundance of options. Let’s look at all the examples individually.
Distributing the bank
A string of victories can really put everyone’s mind at ease. They decide to go all-in and really hit the jackpot. That can turn into a losing streak. The biggest bet loses more often than the others.
Any strategy is good on a demo account or when calculating on paper. After a real deposit it ceases to work, at all hazards. Players have to lose their deposits time after time.
Catch-up is great for many sports. Often bettors go into serious deficit by betting on the same outcome. Players decide to bet on the opposite event. However, it does not come either. The trend reverses.
The best long-range betting scheme will not make a profit. Betting at random can become considerably more profitable.
Betting on the most reliable and surest outcome will inevitably lead to a drain. This is especially often the case if the player has bet the last of his money.
There is always a return on the maximum winnings. The less doubt a player has about a particular bet, the greater the risk of losing.
Live gambling
Live betting is popular among bettors because of its ability to predict results better. This can increase the overall profitability of betting. However, Murphy’s Laws should not be overlooked when it comes to this style of betting, as a quick rake in live betting will inevitably lead to a bust. It is important for the player to stop in time and not try to jump to the Forbes list in one evening.
Expecting the odds to go up will lead to a rapid outcome. It is no longer possible to make a bet.
The most interesting match for the client the bookmaker will not include in the line. And such a match will not be found in many other operators.
The bookmaker’s website will stop working in the most responsible moment when making a bet. You won’t be able to play live.
Choosing a bookmaker
A lot in betting depends on which bookmaker you choose. Some operators work honestly, others often cheat the players. Some Murphy’s Laws apply to bookmakers as well.
- A player always makes unprofitable bets. The most profitable odds will be at another bookmaker.
- A winning match will always result in a refund by the bookmaker. The player may be suspected of rigging the match.
- Betting odds increase immediately after placing a bet. Before betting, the bookmaker may keep the returns stable for hours.
- Waiting for the odds to rise usually ends in a fall. So it is not worth sitting and watching the changes in the numbers on the line for a long time.
- While the player is looking for the best bookmaker for himself, he will lose the whole bank. After losing the deposit, he will be able to find a great betting operator.
- Searching for the bookmaker’s mistakes will not give the right results. After settling the match, the company will return the money with a single odds.
- Selecting the most profitable forks is not allowed in principle. It can end up in the blocking of the gambling account.
Match prediction
Any trend will end the moment the player makes a bet on it. And even the most correct and accurate event will fail. The profit of playing with the help of a capper’s forecasts will, at best, only cover the costs of buying the information from the analysts. In the worst case scenario, the player will record a loss.
- A dealer will stop performing well as soon as the bettor starts buying forecasts from him. This advice is of no use.
- When looking for a reliable forecaster you will have to deal with dozens of phonies. And it is not uncommon for players to be taken in by their tricks.
- Tips kapper begin to bring profit only after the player stops listening to them and starts to act on its own strategy.
- In betting on the total of more in the match of 2 resultant teams bettor will not see a single goal. In a TM bet the teams will tear up each other’s goals and show maximum efficiency.
How should a bettor be?
In fact, these laws are of a joking nature. Betting can be profitable and successful. But to do so, you must constantly work on your mistakes, analyse your own play, and keep a close eye on the performance of the competing teams. Only with a comprehensive approach can you expect a worthwhile effect.